Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 12

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 040835
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0900Z SUN SEP 04 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 55.2W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 55.2W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 55.0W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 29.5N 55.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 31.6N 56.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 33.4N 56.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 35.2N 55.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 38.7N 51.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 41.0N 47.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 42.5N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 55.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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