Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 13

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 041431
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
1500Z SUN SEP 04 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 55.5W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 55.5W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 55.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.3N 56.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 32.3N 56.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 34.1N 56.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 35.9N 54.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 39.0N 50.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 41.0N 45.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 42.5N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 55.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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