Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 20

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 060819
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0900Z TUE SEP 06 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 56.4W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 56.4W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 56.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 34.2N 55.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 35.6N 53.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 36.9N 52.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 38.2N 49.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 41.0N 44.3W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 45.0N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 50.0N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 56.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$



000
WTNT25 KNHC 060820
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
0900Z TUE SEP 06 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 66.6W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 66.6W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 66.5W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 28.7N 67.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 29.0N 67.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.4N 68.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 30.3N 68.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.0N 66.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 34.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 38.5N 52.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N 66.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$