Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 21
000
WTNT24 KNHC 061432
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
1500Z TUE SEP 06 2005
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 55.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 55.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 55.9W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.5N 54.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 35.9N 52.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 37.4N 50.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 38.8N 48.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 41.5N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 45.5N 36.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 51.0N 29.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N 55.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTNT21 KNHC 061436
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
1500Z TUE SEP 06 2005
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER NORTHWARD TO
TITUSVILLE INCLUDING MERRITT ISLAND...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF THE
BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRAND BAHAMA AND
THE ABACOS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 78.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 78.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 78.5W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N 79.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.6N 79.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.0N 79.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 28.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.0N 80.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 29.5N 81.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 30.5N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 78.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
000
WTNT21 KNHC 061445
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
1500Z TUE SEP 06 2005
...CORRECTION TO ADD BIMINI IN THE WARNING SECTION
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER NORTHWARD TO
TITUSVILLE INCLUDING MERRITT ISLAND...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF THE
BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRAND BAHAMA...
THE ABACOS AND BIMINI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 78.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 78.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 78.5W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N 79.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.6N 79.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.0N 79.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 28.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.0N 80.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 29.5N 81.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 30.5N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 78.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
000
WTNT25 KNHC 061449
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
1500Z TUE SEP 06 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 66.7W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 66.7W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 66.6W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.8N 66.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.0N 67.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 30.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 32.5N 64.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 37.0N 53.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 42.5N 41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 66.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
