Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 23

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 070232
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z WED SEP 07 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER NORTHWARD TO TITUSVILLE INCLUDING
MERRITT ISLAND...AND FOR GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS AND BIMINI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ON EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA....AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 78.5W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 78.5W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 78.4W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.7N 78.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.1N 79.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 25SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 28.5N 79.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 28.8N 80.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 29.5N 80.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 30.5N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 30.5N 82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 78.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$



000
WTNT25 KNHC 070234
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
0300Z WED SEP 07 2005

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NATE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 66.3W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 66.3W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 66.3W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.6N 66.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 30.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 31.8N 64.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 38.5N 46.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 44.0N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 66.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN


$$



000
WTNT24 KNHC 070237
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0300Z WED SEP 07 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 54.2W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 54.2W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 54.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 35.7N 52.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 37.1N 51.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 38.5N 48.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 40.1N 46.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 44.0N 41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 49.0N 34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 53.5N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 54.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$