Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 24
000
WTNT25 KNHC 070828
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
0900Z WED SEP 07 2005
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 66.5W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 66.5W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 66.5W
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.2N 66.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 30.1N 66.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.6N 64.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 25SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 36.1N 53.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 39.5N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 44.0N 29.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 66.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
000
WTNT24 KNHC 070839
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0900Z WED SEP 07 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 53.0W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE 70SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 53.0W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 53.7W
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 36.0N 51.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 37.2N 49.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 38.6N 47.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 40.4N 45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 45.0N 39.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 50.0N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 55.0N 27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 53.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART
$$
000
WTNT21 KNHC 070844
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0900Z WED SEP 07 2005
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER
BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 5 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. ALSO...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS.
AT 5 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA....AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 78.9W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 0SE 0SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 78.9W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 78.8W
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 28.5N 79.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 28.8N 79.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 29.0N 80.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 29.4N 80.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 29.8N 80.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 30.1N 80.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N 79.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.3N 78.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
