Hurricane Max

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 181745
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132005
1800Z SUN SEP 18 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 113.6W AT 18/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 113.6W AT 18/1800Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 113.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.8N 114.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.5N 116.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.5N 118.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.7N 119.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 24.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 27.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 113.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

FORECASTER KNABB


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