Hurricane Max

Forecast Advisory 10

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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 202043
TCMEP3
HURRICANE MAX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132005
2100Z TUE SEP 20 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 119.5W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 119.5W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 119.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.9N 120.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.6N 121.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.8N 122.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.8N 124.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.9N 126.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 21.5N 128.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 20.5N 131.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 119.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA


$$



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 202045
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
2100Z TUE SEP 20 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 131.6W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE 25SE 25SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 131.6W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 131.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 13.3N 132.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 25SE 25SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.8N 132.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.5N 133.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.0N 134.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 17.5N 138.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 18.5N 142.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 131.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA


$$