Hurricane Max

Forecast Advisory 13

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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 211429
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM MAX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132005
1500Z WED SEP 21 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 120.9W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 120.9W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 120.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.1N 121.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.2N 122.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.2N 123.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.0N 124.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.8N 126.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 21.5N 129.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 21.0N 131.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 120.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 211430
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
1500Z WED SEP 21 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 132.3W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 132.3W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 132.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.9N 132.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.5N 133.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.9N 133.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.3N 134.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.0N 135.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 18.0N 136.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.5N 137.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 132.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$