Hurricane Nate

Forecast Advisory 16

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 091432
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
1500Z FRI SEP 09 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 54.6W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 90SW 45NW.
34 KT.......150NE 210SE 180SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 54.6W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 55.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.1N 50.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 45NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 35.8N 46.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 36.8N 41.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 39.1N 37.1W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 47.0N 27.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.3N 54.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 091436
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
1500Z FRI SEP 09 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 42.7W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 120SE 120SW 45NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 200SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 375SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 42.7W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.4N 43.4W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 42.3N 40.7W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 120SE 120SW 45NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 45.1N 38.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 175SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 48.5N 35.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 225SW 225NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 52.0N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 125NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 250SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 59.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 300SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 65.0N 8.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.9N 42.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA


$$



000
WTNT21 KNHC 091438
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
1500Z FRI SEP 09 2005

AT 11AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND A
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA
BEACH HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

INTERESTS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 78.9W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 78.9W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 79.1W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 30.0N 78.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 30.6N 78.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.0N 77.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 30.5N 77.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 31.0N 78.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 33.5N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 78.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$