Tropical Depression Nineteen

Forecast Advisory 3

---

000
WTNT24 KNHC 010837
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192005
0900Z SAT OCT 01 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 34.0W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 34.0W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 34.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.0N 34.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.0N 35.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.0N 35.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.5N 36.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.6N 37.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 25.0N 37.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 28.0N 37.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 34.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$