Tropical Storm Norma

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 230443
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142005
0500Z FRI SEP 23 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 108.9W AT 23/0500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 108.9W AT 23/0500Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 108.5W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.5N 109.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.1N 111.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.8N 112.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.4N 113.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N 115.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 20.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 21.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 108.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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