Tropical Storm Norma

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 231427
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
1500Z FRI SEP 23 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 137.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 137.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 136.9W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.2N 137.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.3N 138.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.4N 138.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.5N 139.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 16.5N 140.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 137.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 231431
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142005
1500Z FRI SEP 23 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 109.3W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 109.3W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 109.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.1N 109.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.9N 110.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.7N 111.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.5N 111.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 21.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 22.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 109.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$