Tropical Storm Norma

Forecast Advisory 11

---

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 251439
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142005
1500Z SUN SEP 25 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 111.6W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 111.6W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 111.4W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.6N 112.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.5N 117.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.5N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 21.0N 123.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 111.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$



000
WTPZ21 KNHC 251440
TCMEP1
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005
1500Z SUN SEP 25 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 139.7W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 139.7W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 139.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.0N 140.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.8N 140.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.9N 141.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.0N 142.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 144.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.5N 150.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 139.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$