Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 2

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 062027
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
2100Z TUE SEP 06 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 55.1W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 55.1W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 55.4W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 35.1N 53.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 36.5N 52.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 37.8N 50.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 39.3N 48.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 42.5N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 46.0N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 51.0N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.3N 55.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$



000
WTNT25 KNHC 062029
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
2100Z TUE SEP 06 2005

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NATE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 66.7W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 66.7W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 66.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.8N 67.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.2N 67.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 29.7N 67.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 37.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 43.0N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 66.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$



000
WTNT21 KNHC 062032
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
2100Z TUE SEP 06 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER NORTHWARD TO TITUSVILLE INCLUDING
MERRITT ISLAND...AND FOR GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS AND BIMINI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 78.5W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 78.5W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 78.5W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.2N 78.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.7N 79.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 28.1N 79.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.7N 80.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 29.5N 81.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 30.0N 81.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 30.5N 82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N 78.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$