Hurricane Ophelia
Forecast Advisory 42
000
WTNT21 KNHC 161428
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
1500Z FRI SEP 16 2005
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM
WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING
MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA
SCOTIA FROM YARMOUTH TO LUNENBERG. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED ALONG THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 74.4W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 74.4W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 74.5W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 37.1N 73.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 39.8N 70.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 42.8N 66.7W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 46.0N 60.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 50.0N 47.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 53.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 53.0N 19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.7N 74.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT21 KNHC 161431
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
1500Z FRI SEP 16 2005
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM
WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING
MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA
SCOTIA FROM YARMOUTH TO LUNENBERG. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED ALONG THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 74.4W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 74.4W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 74.5W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 37.1N 73.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 39.8N 70.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 42.8N 66.7W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 46.0N 60.8W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 50.0N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 53.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 53.0N 19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.7N 74.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
