Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 43

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 162037
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
2100Z FRI SEP 16 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WATCH HILL RHODE
ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTHWARD TO HALIFAX. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM YARMOUTH TO
HALIFAX. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 73.2W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 73.2W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 73.6W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 38.7N 71.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 41.6N 68.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 45.2N 63.6W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 48.0N 57.3W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 51.5N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 53.5N 27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 55.0N 14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N 73.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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