Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 23

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 230248
TCMAT3
HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005
0300Z FRI SEP 23 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF
LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN....AND
FROM SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 90.3W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 917 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 250SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 90.3W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 89.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.0N 91.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.4N 93.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 29.8N 94.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.1N 94.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 33.0N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 33.0N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 33.0N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 90.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

FORECASTER KNABB


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000
WTNT22 KNHC 230256
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005
0300Z FRI SEP 23 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 58.3W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 58.3W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 58.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.7N 59.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 33.0N 59.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 35.3N 58.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 36.5N 55.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z...ABSORBED WITHIN FRONTAL ZONE.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 58.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB


$$