Hurricane Stan

Forecast Advisory 13

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 040858
TCMAT5
HURRICANE STAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202005
0900Z TUE OCT 04 2005

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING...FROM NORTH OF PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PALMA SOLA SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO CHILITEPEC. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 94.4W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 60SE 30SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 94.4W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 94.1W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.4N 95.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.2N 96.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 94.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

FORECASTER KNABB


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