Hurricane Stan

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 041437
TCMAT5
HURRICANE STAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202005
1500Z TUE OCT 04 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PALMA SOLA TO CHILITEPEC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM NORTH OF PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO.


HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 95.1W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 60SE 10SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 95.1W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 94.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.3N 95.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 45SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.0N 96.2W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 95.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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