Tropical Storm Beryl

Forecast Advisory 2

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827
WTNT22 KNHC 182040
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK
BEACH LIGHT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 73.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 73.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 73.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 33.7N 73.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.4N 74.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 35.2N 74.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 36.0N 74.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.4N 73.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 39.5N 68.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 42.5N 60.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 73.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART