Tropical Storm Beryl

Forecast Advisory 4

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025
WTNT22 KNHC 190837
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
0900 UTC WED JUL 19 2006

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF
NORTH CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF
CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 73.7W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 73.7W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 73.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 35.7N 73.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 36.9N 73.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.6N 72.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.3N 70.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 44.0N 64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 47.0N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 73.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH