Tropical Storm Beryl

Forecast Advisory 5



830
WTNT22 KNHC 191443
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
1500 UTC WED JUL 19 2006

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EASTERN
COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 73.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 85NE 85SE 35SW 35NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 73.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 73.7W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 36.6N 73.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 85NE 85SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 37.9N 73.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 85NE 85SE 55SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.6N 71.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 85SE 75SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 41.3N 68.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 44.9N 61.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 85NE 85SE 35SW 35NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 47.0N 52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N 73.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART