Tropical Storm Chris

Forecast Advisory 11

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798
WTNT23 KNHC 030838
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
0900 UTC THU AUG 03 2006

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI TO CABO
ENGANO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 66.4W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 66.4W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 65.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.8N 70.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.2N 72.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.5N 74.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.5N 79.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 23.0N 84.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 23.5N 89.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 66.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA