Hurricane Ernesto

Forecast Advisory 3

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565
WTNT25 KNHC 250900
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0900 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006

...CORRECTION TO ADD 12 FT SEAS...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 65.7W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 65.7W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 64.9W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 13.9N 67.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.8N 70.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.6N 72.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.5N 79.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 21.0N 84.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 23.5N 87.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 65.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE