Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 5

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896
WTNT21 KNHC 042046
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC MON SEP 04 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 43.8W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 43.8W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 43.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 17.6N 45.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.3N 46.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.0N 48.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.5N 50.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 43.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN