Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 12

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299
WTNT21 KNHC 061442
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 50.9W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......250NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 50.9W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 50.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.3N 52.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 90SE 45SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.5N 54.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 90SE 45SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 90SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 23.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 25SW 60NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 25SW 60NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 28.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 31.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 50.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN