Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 13

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070
WTNT21 KNHC 062032
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC WED SEP 06 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 51.4W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 90SE 90SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 51.4W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 51.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 50SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.5N 55.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 22.7N 58.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.7N 60.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 29.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 32.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 51.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN