Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 17

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570
WTNT21 KNHC 072032
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 54.9W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......350NE 250SE 0SW 250NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 100SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 54.9W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 54.3W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.5N 56.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...350NE 250SE 0SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.8N 59.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 85NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 60SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.0N 61.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...275NE 250SE 75SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.2N 63.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...275NE 250SE 75SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 28.1N 65.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...275NE 275SE 100SW 250NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 32.0N 66.0W...NEAR BERMUDA
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 38.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 54.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

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FORECASTER STEWART