Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 23

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712
WTNT21 KNHC 090832
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0900 UTC SAT SEP 09 2006

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR BERMUDA LATER THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 62.8W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......300NE 200SE 60SW 250NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 225SE 100SW 325NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 62.8W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 62.3W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.1N 64.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 35NW.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...300NE 200SE 80SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 26.7N 65.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 0SW 35NW.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 35SW 80NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 100SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 28.6N 65.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...300NE 275SE 100SW 225NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 30.6N 65.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 100SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...350NE 350SE 150SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 43.0N 56.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 49.0N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N 62.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN