Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 25

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012
WTNT21 KNHC 092033
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC SAT SEP 09 2006

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 64.3W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......250NE 200SE 90SW 250NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 225SE 100SW 325NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 64.3W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 64.0W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 26.8N 65.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 100SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 28.7N 65.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 35NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 35SW 80NW.
34 KT...250NE 225SE 100SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 30.8N 65.5W...APPROACHING BERMUDA
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...275NE 250SE 100SW 225NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 33.3N 64.6W...NORTH OF BERMUDA
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...300NE 275SE 100SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 39.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...350NE 350SE 150SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 45.0N 52.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 49.0N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 64.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART