Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 33

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796
WTNT21 KNHC 112030
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS REPLACED
THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 64.8W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......250NE 175SE 90SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 275SE 350SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 64.8W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 65.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.2N 63.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...275NE 175SE 100SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 38.7N 61.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...275NE 175SE 100SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 42.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 150SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 45.2N 54.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...300NE 350SE 200SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 49.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 480SE 420SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 51.0N 25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 64.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH





959
WTNT22 KNHC 112040
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 57.3W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 57.3W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 57.1W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.4N 58.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 23.7N 59.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 25.0N 60.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 26.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 29.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 31.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 34.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 57.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER COBB/PASCH