Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 34



540
WTNT22 KNHC 120232
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0300 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 57.9W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 57.9W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 57.6W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.0N 58.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 26.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.6N 60.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 33.0N 57.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 37.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 57.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




173
WTNT21 KNHC 120232
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0300 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 63.9W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.
34 KT.......250NE 200SE 125SW 250NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 350SE 450SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 63.9W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 64.3W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 37.8N 62.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.
34 KT...300NE 275SE 175SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 40.6N 59.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 275SE 175SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 44.0N 56.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 225SW 225NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 46.5N 51.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 150SE 125SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 250SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 49.5N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 360SE 320SW 250NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 52.0N 20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N 63.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA