Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 36

---

284
WTNT23 KNHC 121431
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 23.0W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 23.0W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 22.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 12.7N 25.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 13.0N 28.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 13.5N 31.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.0N 34.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.5N 41.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 23.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





186
WTNT22 KNHC 121436
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 58.3W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 58.3W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 58.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.4N 58.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.8N 58.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.4N 58.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.0N 57.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 35.0N 54.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 39.1N 49.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 58.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER COBB/PASCH





542
WTNT21 KNHC 121438
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 61.2W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT.......360NE 300SE 240SW 360NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 375SE 450SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 61.2W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 62.0W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 40.6N 58.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 30NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 43.9N 55.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 30NW.
50 KT...100NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 46.5N 50.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 200SE 200SW 90NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 300SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 47.8N 44.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 150SE 150SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 420SE 360SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 49.5N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 420SE 360SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N 61.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH





342
WTNT22 KNHC 121453
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 58.3W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 58.3W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 58.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.4N 58.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.8N 58.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.4N 58.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.0N 57.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 35.0N 54.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 39.0N 49.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 58.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH