Tropical Storm Andrea

Forecast Advisory 1

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916
WTNT21 KNHC 091444
TCMAT1
SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
1500 UTC WED MAY 09 2007

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 79.3W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 79.3W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 79.1W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 30.6N 79.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 30.2N 80.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 29.8N 81.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.6N 81.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.5N 81.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 29.5N 81.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 79.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB