Tropical Storm Andrea

Forecast Advisory 4

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130
WTNT21 KNHC 100830
TCMAT1
SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
0900 UTC THU MAY 10 2007

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 80.0W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 220 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 80.0W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 79.9W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.2N 80.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 29.9N 80.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.7N 80.2W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.5N 80.1W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 29.3N 79.9W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 80.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI