Hurricane Dean

Forecast Advisory 9

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951
WTNT24 KNHC 151435
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1500 UTC WED AUG 15 2007

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DEAN.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 46.0W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 50SE 50SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 46.0W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 45.1W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.7N 48.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.1N 52.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.7N 55.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.2N 59.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 16.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 18.0N 78.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 46.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





305
WTNT25 KNHC 151437
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007
1500 UTC WED AUG 15 2007

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM FREEPORT SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 93.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 93.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 93.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 25.8N 95.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.5N 97.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 27.0N 99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 28.5N 100.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N 93.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA