Hurricane Dean

Forecast Advisory 34

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166
WTNT24 KNHC 211443
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1500 UTC TUE AUG 21 2007

AT 10 AM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE
WARNING FOR BELIZE TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM VERACRUZ TO TAMPICO. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO
CANCUN. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF
PROGRESO WESTWARD TO TAMPICO. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA PESCA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO PROGRESSO...AND
FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA PESCA.

AT 10 AM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL REMAINING
WATCHES FOR CUBA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 89.6W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 75SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 0SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 89.6W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 88.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.4N 92.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.0N 95.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.5N 98.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 70 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.0N 101.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 89.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN