Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT22 KNHC 090231
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
0300 UTC SUN SEP 09 2007

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC COAST OF VIRGINIA FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CAPE CHARLES
LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA
FOR THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 75.7W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 75.7W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 75.4W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 34.3N 75.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.8N 75.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 37.1N 74.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 39.0N 71.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 43.0N 62.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 75.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN