Tropical Storm Ingrid

Forecast Advisory 4

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 130842
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
0900 UTC THU SEP 13 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 47.5W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 47.5W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 47.1W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.5N 48.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.8N 49.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.0N 50.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.5N 51.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 17.5N 57.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 19.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 47.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTNT24 KNHC 130855
TCMAT4
HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
0900 UTC THU SEP 13 2007

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF CAMERON TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM WEST OF
HIGH ISLAND TO SARGENT TEXAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED OR
DOWNGRADED LATER THIS MORNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 94.1W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 94.1W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 94.4W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 30.9N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 10NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.2N 92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.7N 90.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 32.3N 88.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 94.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA