Hurricane Noel

Forecast Advisory 23



234
WTNT21 KNHC 020831
TCMAT1
HURRICANE NOEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
0900 UTC FRI NOV 02 2007

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD
SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS
FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD
CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF
ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 75.2W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT.......240NE 240SE 60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 300SE 60SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 75.2W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 75.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.2N 73.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 0SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 180SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 35.4N 71.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 40.0N 68.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...180NE 240SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...480NE 420SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 44.9N 65.0W...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 90NW.
34 KT...480NE 480SE 360SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 56.0N 56.5W...EXTRATROPICAL OVER WATER
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...300NE 300SE 150SW 120NW.
34 KT...480NE 540SE 360SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 64.5N 50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 75.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN