Hurricane Noel

Forecast Advisory 25



397
WTNT21 KNHC 022049
TCMAT1
HURRICANE NOEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
2100 UTC FRI NOV 02 2007

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD
SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS
FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD
CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF
ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 72.4W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 300SE 90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 420SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 72.4W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 73.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N 71.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...150NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...300NE 420SE 240SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 39.4N 69.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...240NE 360SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...420NE 480SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 44.7N 65.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...300NE 300SE 240SW 180NW.
34 KT...480NE 540SE 420SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 50.6N 61.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 0NW.
34 KT...480NE 540SE 480SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 61.0N 52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 300SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 68.0N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 72.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN




783
WTNT21 KNHC 022059
TCMAT1
HURRICANE NOEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25..CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
2100 UTC FRI NOV 02 2007

...CORRECTED TO INDICATE THAT THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD
SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS
FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD
CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF
ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 72.4W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 300SE 90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 420SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 72.4W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 73.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N 71.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...150NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...300NE 420SE 240SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 39.4N 69.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...240NE 360SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...420NE 480SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 44.7N 65.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...300NE 300SE 240SW 180NW.
34 KT...480NE 540SE 420SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 50.6N 61.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 0NW.
34 KT...480NE 540SE 480SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 61.0N 52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 300SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 68.0N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 72.4W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN