Tropical Storm Arthur

Forecast Advisory 4

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459
WTNT21 KNHC 010852
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012008
0900 UTC SUN JUN 01 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE
AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE
MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 90.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 90.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 89.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.2N 90.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.1N 91.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.0N 93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N 94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N 95.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 90.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN