Hurricane Dolly

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT24 KNHC 211454
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
1500 UTC MON JUL 21 2008

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE
TEXAS COAST FROM BROWNSVILLE NORTHWARD TO PORT O'CONNOR. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 1100 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS
COAST FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 1100 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO THE U.S.
BORDER...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM LA PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD
TO RIO SAN FERNANDO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 89.5W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 89.5W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 88.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.0N 91.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.2N 93.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.1N 95.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.9N 96.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 26.5N 98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 27.0N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 89.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB




000
WTNT23 KNHC 211456
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
1500 UTC MON JUL 21 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 72.6W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 110SE 60SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 75SE 60SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 72.6W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 73.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 37.9N 70.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 40.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 43.3N 63.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 75SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 45.0N 59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 75SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 45.0N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 100SE 100SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 41.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N 72.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE