Hurricane Gustav

Forecast Advisory 18



000
WTNT23 KNHC 290852
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
0900 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 62.3W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 10SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 62.3W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 61.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.6N 64.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 24.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.3N 68.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 26.0N 70.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.0N 71.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 25.5N 72.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 25.0N 73.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 62.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT22 KNHC 290852
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
0900 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008

HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA...FOR THE
PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
GRANMA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL CUBA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 78.1W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 78.1W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 77.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.6N 79.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.6N 81.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.0N 82.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.7N 84.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.4N 88.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 29.0N 91.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 30.0N 93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 78.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE