Hurricane Ike

Forecast Advisory 16



000
WTNT25 KNHC 050244
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008
0300 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 33.8W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 33.8W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 33.4W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.4N 34.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.8N 36.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N 37.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.5N 39.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.5N 44.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 21.5N 48.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 23.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 33.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER RHOME




000
WTNT23 KNHC 050245
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
0300 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER
NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO
AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH
CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO GREAT EGG INLET NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...
WASHINGTON D.C...AND THE DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER
SOUTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 76.3W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 20SW 90NW.
34 KT.......275NE 225SE 60SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 60SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 76.3W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 75.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 28.5N 77.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 20SW 90NW.
34 KT...275NE 225SE 30SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.5N 78.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 90NW.
34 KT...275NE 225SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 35.0N 78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 175SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.0N 75.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 46.0N 62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 50.5N 44.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 51.2N 27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 76.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT24 KNHC 050245
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
0300 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 59.5W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 59.5W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 58.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.6N 61.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 64.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.9N 66.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N 69.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.5N 73.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 24.0N 77.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 26.0N 80.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 59.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN