Hurricane Kyle

Forecast Advisory 12

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187
WTNT21 KNHC 281446
TCMAT1
HURRICANE KYLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008
1500 UTC SUN SEP 28 2008

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WEST OF
STONINGTON MAINE ARE DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM STONINGTON EASTWARD TO
EASTPORT MAINE. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA CANADA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK
CANADA AND SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF
NOVA SCOTIA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KYLE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.4N 67.7W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT.......105NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.4N 67.7W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 68.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 43.3N 66.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...105NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 46.3N 64.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...105NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.5N 63.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 50.0N 63.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 51.5N 63.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.4N 67.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH