Tropical Storm Laura

Forecast Advisory 1



000
WTNT22 KNHC 290831
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008
0900 UTC MON SEP 29 2008

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 47.3W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT.......240NE 200SE 210SW 270NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 400SE 480SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 47.3W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 47.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.0N 48.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 210SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 39.8N 48.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...240NE 220SE 200SW 235NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 41.7N 48.8W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 44.0N 48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 170SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 51.5N 44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 150SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 58.0N 34.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 57.0N 21.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N 47.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART