Hurricane Omar

Forecast Advisory 6

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983
WTNT25 KNHC 142032
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2008

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENTS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...ANTIGUA
AND BARBUDA...AND FRANCE...HAVE ALSO ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...
ST. MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. BARTHELEMY.

AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLAND OF MONTSERRAT.

AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EASTERN PORTION OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 68.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 40SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 90SE 50SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 68.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 68.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.6N 68.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT... 35NE 45SE 25SW 15NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 50SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.9N 66.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 64.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 15SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 35SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.6N 62.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.0N 58.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 31.1N 55.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 38.0N 49.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 68.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





217
WTNT21 KNHC 142051
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008
2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS
FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA
BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 83.6W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 83.6W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 83.4W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.9N 84.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.1N 85.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.1N 86.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.9N 88.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.5N 90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 83.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN