Hurricane Omar

Forecast Advisory 10

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114
WTNT25 KNHC 152044
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...
SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND ANGUILLA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO...AND ALSO FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE..WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 66.1W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 66.1W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 66.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.6N 64.8W...NRN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.4N 62.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.2N 60.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.1N 59.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 31.7N 54.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 39.0N 44.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 48.0N 27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 66.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





482
WTNT21 KNHC 152047
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008
2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2008

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DROPPED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN BELIZE COAST NORTH OF
BELIZE CITY. THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DROPPED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE HONDURAS COAST.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BELIZE
COAST TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
GUATEMALA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 85.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 85.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 85.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.4N 86.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.3N 87.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.3N 88.8W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.7N 89.9W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 85.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART